Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 55.548527 63.473112 71.614928 80.570296 90.110411 99.938615 110.798167
2026-01-11 43.025622 54.232944 66.324718 80.194319 95.527920 111.840836 130.391077
2026-01-18 35.395494 48.263795 62.681471 79.728086 99.058686 120.060317 144.376531
2026-01-25 30.106397 44.155268 60.438054 80.194026 103.067005 128.333115 157.994637
2026-02-01 25.311194 40.008814 57.628178 79.537057 105.389294 134.370950 168.806058
2026-02-08 21.635514 36.805515 55.584375 79.461724 108.111192 140.637208 179.675728
2026-02-15 18.164967 33.468562 53.063679 78.544458 109.619683 145.326946 188.590312
2026-02-22 16.035192 31.688638 52.316429 79.636126 113.387278 152.533961 200.308664
2026-03-01 14.318741 30.292389 51.922357 81.051845 117.454915 160.024485 212.301874
2026-03-08 11.975141 27.710442 49.768507 80.087987 118.501510 163.855321 219.955975
2026-03-15 9.721454 24.973364 47.199768 78.425847 118.556091 166.402752 226.018796
2026-03-22 9.191189 24.940569 48.348374 81.587801 124.598053 176.115847 240.524398
2026-03-29 8.244941 24.122228 48.350483 83.237091 128.774880 183.640173 252.527366
2026-04-05 6.842338 22.316381 46.810998 82.744237 130.188238 187.783997 260.495936
2026-04-12 5.632103 20.660822 45.369280 82.289811 131.578899 191.846117 268.323032
2026-04-19 4.772138 19.537035 44.646025 82.760299 134.115321 197.282043 277.776130
2026-04-26 3.804713 17.993337 43.162087 82.092462 135.116621 200.783949 284.867900
2026-05-03 3.072801 16.799511 42.142666 82.015685 136.845022 205.154485 292.986154
2026-05-10 2.320719 15.338603 40.578047 81.082268 137.387943 208.008137 299.232052
2026-05-17 1.947192 14.762577 40.445607 82.193171 140.628248 214.227427 309.573437
2026-05-24 1.657751 14.345253 40.551558 83.633663 144.298547 220.982910 320.570974
2026-05-31 1.160681 13.067278 39.062457 82.652961 144.669056 223.545678 326.409066
2026-06-07 0.711965 11.627452 37.155571 80.961556 144.015983 224.767120 330.562972